Ambiguity Aversion in Game Theory: Experimental Evidence
نویسنده
چکیده
This paper studies games with ambiguity averse agents, focusing on the relationship between preferences, beliefs over opponent’s preferences, and behaviour in normal form games. Using a carefully chosen 3×2 normal form game we find that a subject’s risk and ambiguity preferences affect the subject’s behaviour in normal form games in the direction suggested by economic theories. In contrast, we find no evidence that a subject’s beliefs over their opponent’s private preference information affect behaviour; although in a follow up treatment we find a strong effect of knowledge of an opponent’s preferences on behaviour. This paper is the first to present evidence of a link between ambiguity aversion in individual decision making and behaviour in strategic environments, and is also the first to consider empirically the role of beliefs over an opponent’s private information regarding the opponent’s ambiguity preferences. In addition, we find a positive correlation between subject’s risk and ambiguity preferences.
منابع مشابه
Recognizing Ambiguity How LAck of infoRmAtion ScAReS uS
In this paper, I will examine two different approaches to an experimental decision problem posed by Craig Fox and Amos Tversky. This decision problem is intended to illustrate the phenomenon called “ambiguity aversion” that is observed in decision situations under uncertainty. These situations occur when an agent is faced with a decision problem where the probabilities are not specified in adva...
متن کاملAn Ambiguity Aversion Framework of Security Games under Ambiguities
Security is a critical concern around the world. Since resources for security are always limited, lots of interest have arisen in using game theory to handle security resource allocation problems. However, most of the existing work does not address adequately how a defender chooses his optimal strategy in a game with absent, inaccurate, uncertain, and even ambiguous strategy profiles’ payoffs. ...
متن کاملAmbiguous games: evidence for strategic ambiguity aversion.
The problem of ambiguity in games is discussed, and a class of ambiguous games is identified. A total of 195 participants played strategic-form games of various sizes with unidentified co-players. In each case, they first chose between a known-risk game involving a co-player indifferent between strategies and an equivalent ambiguous game involving one of several co-player types, each with a dif...
متن کاملThe Subjective Approach to Ambiguity: A Critical Assessment∗
We provide a critical assessment of the (subjective) ambiguity literature, which we characterize in terms of the view that Ellsberg choices are rational responses to ambiguity, to be explained by relaxing Savage’s sure thing principle and adding an ambiguity-aversion postulate. First, admitting Ellsberg choices as rational leads to behavior, such as sensitivity to irrelevant sunk cost, or avers...
متن کاملSize doesn't really matter: ambiguity aversion in Ellsberg urns with few balls.
When attempting to draw a ball of a specified color either from an urn containing 50 red balls and 50 black balls or from an urn containing an unknown ratio of 100 red and black balls, a majority of decision makers prefer the known-risk urn, and this ambiguity aversion effect violates expected utility theory. In an experimental investigation of the effect of urn size on ambiguity aversion, 149 ...
متن کاملذخیره در منابع من
با ذخیره ی این منبع در منابع من، دسترسی به آن را برای استفاده های بعدی آسان تر کنید
عنوان ژورنال:
دوره شماره
صفحات -
تاریخ انتشار 2015